Tuesday, January 31, 2006

Open Text Corp. (OTEX)

Sold my position in Open Text Corp. (OTEX) @16,78 for a gain of 6,8% mainly because of the earning announcement which is scheduled for tomorrow after market close.

Short update / Weekly Watchlist 01/30/06

OIH ETF short stopped out yesterday @155,14 for a loss of 4,9%.

Due to time problems I will not post a weekly watchlist this week.

Friday, January 27, 2006

Weekly Watchlist 01/23/06 update II

  • Spectralink Corp. (SLNK) stopped out @12,45 for a loss of 4%
  • Sold Open Solutions Inc. (OPEN) @26,5 for a gain of 7,9%
  • Sold Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp. (IART) @39,38 for a gain of 8%
  • Sold Amcol International Corp. (ACO) @25,71 for a gain of 6,9%

Weekly Watchlist 01/23/06 update

  • bought Amcol International Corp. (ACO) yesterday @24,05 (shortly after I wrote to do nothing more this week, I could not let my hands out of the market...)
  • today I will be looking for an exit @Open Solutions Inc. (OPEN), looks a little bit overbought to me here... [bought @24,56] & I will watch SLNK closely after their earnings call yesterday [bought @ 12,96]

Chart of the day

Thursday, January 26, 2006

OIL SERVICE HOLDRS T (OIH) / ETF Trading

ETF Trading: (daily trading strategy)

  • Looking to sell OIL SERVICE HOLDRS T (OIH) short below 147,50 / target 144-142

Consider always the disclaimer, I'm not a professional investor!


Update on Weekly Watchlist 01/23/06: due to "time problems" I was not able to execute any of my sell/buy stops, so I won't do anything here this week. I'm just holding on to my positions. Watch Spectralink Corp. (SLNK) today. They have an earnings call after market close.

Monday, January 23, 2006

Weekly Watchlist 01/23/06

Long

  • Carrizo Oil & Gas Inc. (CRZO) maybe a buy above 27,3
  • San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) above 46 perhaps a buy
  • Amcol International Corp. (ACO) could be a buy above 24,02
  • ENCANA CORP (ECA) above 49
Short
  • ICU Medical Inc. (ICUI) looks short below 38,9
  • Multi-Fineline Electronix Inc. (MFLX) is a short play below 46,50

Update on Hoku Scientific, Inc. (HOKU): the other half position stopped out @9,59 for a gain of 7% (total gain: 13,6%)

Consider always the disclaimer, I'm not a professional investor!

Friday, January 20, 2006

Weekly Watchlist 01/17/06 update III

  • Sold PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) @19,65 for a gain of 6,2%
  • Sold Global Industries Ltd. (GLBL) @13,74 for a gain of 7,68%
  • Sold Silicon Image Inc. (SIMG) @11,72 for a gain of 7,92%
  • Sold half position of Hoku Scientific, Inc. (HOKU) @10,77 for a gain of 20,2%
  • Bought Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK) @33,64 after stock hits my buy above "target"(33,70)

Hoku Scientific, Inc. (HOKU)

Yesterday Hoku Scientific, Inc. (HOKU) published earnings:


Stock is up around 18% @10,80. I think I will sell half of my shares here and hold the other half a little bit longer (provided with an stop loss in the "green territory")

Chart of the day

Weekly Watchlist 01/17/06 update II

Yesterday I bought Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp. (IART) per stop buy @36,45. A quite nice run up yesterday in the stock (closed @37,91). My target range is here from 38,8 to 39,7.

Wednesday, January 18, 2006

AMR Corp. (AMR)

Covered my shortposition @18,26 for a gain of 6,9%. (18 maybe a support here for the stock...)

Weekly Watchlist 01/17/06 update

Just a quick update:

  • bought Hoku Scientific, Inc. (HOKU) yesterday @8,96 after it hits my buy above target of 9
  • sold AMR Corp. (AMR) short @19,62
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSM) will open with a gap down (around 4% / 9,70) on the Intel news today. I think I will do nothing here...

Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Berry Petroleum Co. (BRY)

Sold my shares @74,20 for a gain of 12,63% (bought @65,88 after stock was above my buy trigger @66,41 last week)

What a nice breakout! (Well,
sometimes you need a little bit of luck and good news too... Berry Petroleum Utah Drilling Successful)

Weekly Watchlist 01/17/06

Short:

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSM) - maybe a short below 10
  • AMR Corp. (AMR) - looks short below 19,70
Long:
  • Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK) - maybe a long play above 33,70
  • Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp. (IART) - above 36,41
  • Hoku Scientific, Inc. (HOKU) - perhaps a buy above 9
  • Sinovac Biotech Ltd. (SVA) - maybe a buy above 5,33
  • Kyphon Inc. (KYPH) - looks long above 44
Consider always the disclaimer, I'm not a professional investor!

Friday, January 13, 2006

Trading ETF's

In addition to stocks I will test my strategy on ETF's this year.

I just finished my "backtest" on the QQQQ for last year on daily, weekly & monthly "trading".

  • Gain on my weekly strategy: 24,4% (before comissions etc.)
  • Gain on my daily strategy: 32,6% (before comissions etc.)
  • no trade on my monthly strategy
So that looks pretty fine in comparison to the result of an buy and hold strategy on the QQQQ's for last year....

Nevertheless the expected gains are lower than in stock trading but the risk is also much lower (in terms of initial stops, possible losses and overnight risk (i.e. bad or good announcements by companies))

In addition I will track the following ETF's (only on weekly & monthly basis):
We will see how this works out...

By the way: the first "daily" trade on the QQQQ's was Long on 01/04/06 @41,51 > sold @43,23 for a gain of 4,14%.

Chart of the day

Thursday, January 12, 2006

Palomar Medical Technologies Inc. (PMTI)





Bought some Palomar Medical Technologies Inc. (PMTI) @40 - breakout play on my daily trading strategy... we will se how this one works out...

Consider always the disclaimer, I'm not a professional investor !

Wednesday, January 11, 2006

ProLogis (PLD)

Sold my position in ProLogis (PLD) @49,17 a few hours ago - maybe it's time for a consolidation now... my gain from this trade was 12,39%

Palomar Medical Technologies Inc. (PMTI) didn't make my buy trigger...

On my daily Watchlist: Palomar Medical (PMTI)

I just read about Palomar Medical Technologies Inc. (PMTI) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice and it fits in my daily trading strategy. So I will be on the buy side above 39,98... (breakout play, above 39,98 new all time highs)

Tuesday, January 10, 2006

"Robot" & "Bunny" investing

Recently I read two articles about the "robot-portfolio" and the "bunny-portfolio" - much or less it's all about value investing - here are the links:


Bunny Portfolio's Five-Year Winning Streak Snaps: John Dorfman





Robot Portfolio Steams to 7th-Straight Victory: John Dorfman



Another article by the same author:

Here Are My 10 Favorite Value Stocks for 2006: John Dorfman

Monday, January 09, 2006

Weekly Watchlist 01/09/06

A little bit late, but I hope not too late...

Only Longs on my WL this week:

  • PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) - breakout play above 18,51
  • Open Solutions Inc. (OPEN) - breakout play above 24,5
  • Open Text Corp. (OTEX) - maybe a buy above 15,7
  • Silicon Image Inc. (SIMG) - like the stock above 10,85
  • Global Industries Ltd. (GLBL) - a buy above 12,74
  • Spectralink Corp. (SLNK) - breakout above 13,9
  • Jack Henry & Associates Inc. (JKHY) - breakout above 20,30
  • Berry Petroleum Co. (BRY) - maybe a buy above 66,41
Consider always the disclaimer, I'm not a professional investor !

Wednesday, January 04, 2006

Bio-Reference Laboratories Inc. (BRLI)

Covered my short position in Bio-Reference Laboratories Inc. (BRLI) @ 18,64 last week for a loss of 4%. The main reason was the fiscal year end earnings call whis is scheduled for tomorrow.

I'm holding on to my position of ProLogis (PLD) where I have moved my stop loss a little bit higher (still wating for the 48 here...)

The next update on my weekly trading strategy will be next week. If I can find interestung stocks for my monthly trading horizon (holding time from one to five months - sometimes longer...) I will post it tomorrow or friday.

I wish everyone a succesfull 2006!